Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Team to Advance

Q: Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Team to Advance

Prediction markets currently price this at 79%. A YES share costs 79.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 26.6% over 9d.

Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK - More Markets$2k liquidity$500 volumecloses 9d

SportsGamesSoccerUCL

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 79.0¢
Implied chance: 79.0%
Return if right: 26.6%
Spread cost: 41%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

YES wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $44.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 41.0¢
Implied chance: 41.0%
Return if right: 143.9%
Spread cost: 35%

If you put in $100

You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.

NO wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $78.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $222.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 10:40 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Team to Advance”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the UEFA Champions League qualifying tie between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, with the deciding leg scheduled for September 10 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie, based on aggregate score across both legs, to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Sabah FK" if Sabah FK is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If either leg is postponed, this market will remain open until the tie has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the tie is canceled entirely and no team advances, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.uefa.com/