Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance

Q: Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance

Prediction markets currently price this at 55%. A YES share costs 55.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 81.8% over 2d.

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets$11k liquidity$1k volumecloses 2d

SportsGamesSoccerUCL

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

YES wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $85.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 47.0¢
Implied chance: 47.0%
Return if right: 112.8%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.

NO wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $117.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 16, 07:07 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the UEFA Champions League qualifying tie between Fenerbahçe SK and Olympique Lyonnais, with the deciding leg scheduled for August 18 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie, based on aggregate score across both legs, to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If either leg is postponed, this market will remain open until the tie has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the tie is canceled entirely and no team advances, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Source: https://www.uefa.com/