Will Trump and Xi only be photographed shaking hands during their summit?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
YES wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10714.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $24900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 75%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 09:28 AM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
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How this market resolves
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. The resolution source will be video footage.
Other outcomes in How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?