Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.5¢
- Implied chance
- 7.5%
- Return if right
- 1233.3%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 1333.3 shares at 7.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1333.33 back, a profit of $1233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $1242.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.6¢
- Implied chance
- 92.6%
- Return if right
- 8.0%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 108.0 shares at 92.6¢ each.
NO wins: $107.99 back, a profit of $7.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.