Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.0¢
- Implied chance
- 6.0%
- Return if right
- 1566.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $151.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $1718.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:28 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Logistic Properties of the Americas (LPA) Wins $145 Million Sale Approval. Can Mexico Replace Peru Income?Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch Snags $1.2B UBS Team in New MexicoYahoo Finance · 13d ago
- New Mexico leaders ask Apple and Google not to use ‘New America’ on their mapsThe Washington Post · 13d ago
- Trump’s call to rename New Mexico ‘New America’ is a distraction tactic, Democrats sayThe Guardian · 16d ago
- Trump floats renaming New Mexico 'New America'ABC News · 16d ago
- New Mexico Democrats push back over Trump posts about renaming state ‘New America’NBC News · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.