Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?$45k liquidity$41k volumecloses 4.7mo
TrumpMiddle EastIranGeopoliticsPoliticsIran Ceasefire
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
2.9¢
Implied chance
2.9%
Return if right
3348.3%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 3448.3 shares at 2.9¢ each.

YES wins: $3448.28 back, a profit of $3348.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $60.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $3408.77.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
97.2¢
Implied chance
97.2%
Return if right
2.9%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 102.9 shares at 97.2¢ each.

NO wins: $102.88 back, a profit of $2.88. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%3%Aug 10Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 07:59 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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