Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.2¢
- Implied chance
- 8.2%
- Return if right
- 1119.5%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 1219.5 shares at 8.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1219.51 back, a profit of $1119.51. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $54.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $1173.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.5¢
- Implied chance
- 92.5%
- Return if right
- 8.1%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 108.1 shares at 92.5¢ each.
NO wins: $108.11 back, a profit of $8.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.52.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.