Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 91%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
YES wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.2¢
- Implied chance
- 4.2%
- Return if right
- 2281.0%
- Spread cost
- 49%
If you put in $100
You get 2381.0 shares at 4.2¢ each.
NO wins: $2380.95 back, a profit of $2280.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2164.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $4445.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.