Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $525.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump renews effort to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa CookAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Trump restarts effort to fire Fed's Lisa CookThe Hill · 3d ago
- Trump is trying to fire Lisa Cook again. He still wants to stack the Fed with his allies.MarketWatch · 3d ago
- Trump renews push to fire Fed Governor Lisa CookNPR · 3d ago
- Trump renews bid to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook despite supreme court rulingThe Guardian · 4d ago
- White House revives unprecedented effort to remove Fed governor Lisa CookAxios · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.