Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump says he expects Iran talks to resume this week, President Pezeshkian speaks outCBS News · 10d ago
- Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on releasing Americans determined to be wrongfully detainedCBS News · 10d ago
- Face the Nation: Pezeshkian, YuiCBS News · 10d ago
- Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian says he is open to allowing nuclear inspectors into countryCBS News · 10d ago
- Pezeshkian says Iran ‘no longer trusts talks with Washington’Al Jazeera · 11d ago
- Pezeshkian says Iran ‘no longer trusts talks with Washington’Al Jazeera · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.