Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Q: Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Prediction markets currently price this at 48%. A YES share costs 48.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 108.3% over 1.4y.

Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?$4k liquidity$36k volumecloses 1.4y

CryptoPre-MarketTreadFDV

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 48.0¢
Implied chance: 48.0%
Return if right: 108.3%
Spread cost: 20%

If you put in $100

You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.

YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 06:26 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".