Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $33233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Todd Blanche to be sworn in as attorney general after narrow Senate confirmationCBS News · 2h ago
- Todd Blanche to be sworn in as attorney generalCBS News · 4h ago
- Todd Blanche to be sworn in as attorney general soonCBS News · 4h ago
- Sen. Bill Cassidy says his decision to confirm Todd Blanche wasn't "black or white"CBS News · 1d ago
- Sen. Bill Cassidy says vote to confirm Todd Blanche "wasn't a black or white decision"CBS News · 1d ago
- Todd Blanche narrowly confirmed as attorney generalCBS News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Todd Blanche's nomination to be Attorney General of the United States is announced as withdrawn, or is formally withdrawn, by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The withdrawal will be considered announced when Donald Trump, Todd Blanche, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Todd Blanche's nomination will be or is being withdrawn. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the withdrawal is formally communicated to the United States Senate, and regardless of whether the withdrawal is described as temporary. The following will not qualify: statements that a withdrawal is being considered or is possible; conditional statements that the nomination will be withdrawn only if specified conditions are met; media reports that a withdrawal is planned; the Senate postponing, declining to advance, or voting down the nomination; the return of the nomination to the President upon adjournment of the Senate; and statements by persons other than those listed above. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Todd Blanche; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.