Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.5¢
- Implied chance
- 2.5%
- Return if right
- 3900.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 4000.0 shares at 2.5¢ each.
YES wins: $4000.00 back, a profit of $3900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $444.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $4344.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democrats reluctantly hand Trump major victory on fraud program targeting Tim WalzFox News · 7d ago
- Tim Walz accused of risking national security to defy TrumpFox News · 1mo ago
- Minnesota House speaker Lisa Demuth wins GOP gubernatorial primary to replace Tim Walz in NovemberFox News · 1mo ago
- Republican survives primary on Tim Walz's old congressional turf as Dems eye seat flipFox News · 1mo ago
- It's official: Amy Klobuchar is Democrats' pick to succeed Gov. Tim WalzAxios · 1mo ago
- Tim Walz's golf game leaves the internet in shock, the NFL is already dunking on the NBA & Kristin Cavallari!Fox News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Tim Walz in jail by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.