Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.1¢
- Implied chance
- 7.1%
- Return if right
- 1308.5%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 1408.5 shares at 7.1¢ each.
YES wins: $1408.45 back, a profit of $1308.45. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $178.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $1487.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.5¢
- Implied chance
- 94.5%
- Return if right
- 5.8%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 105.8 shares at 94.5¢ each.
NO wins: $105.82 back, a profit of $5.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democrats reluctantly hand Trump major victory on fraud program targeting Tim WalzFox News · 7d ago
- Tim Walz accused of risking national security to defy TrumpFox News · 1mo ago
- Minnesota House speaker Lisa Demuth wins GOP gubernatorial primary to replace Tim Walz in NovemberFox News · 1mo ago
- Republican survives primary on Tim Walz's old congressional turf as Dems eye seat flipFox News · 1mo ago
- It's official: Amy Klobuchar is Democrats' pick to succeed Gov. Tim WalzAxios · 1mo ago
- Tim Walz's golf game leaves the internet in shock, the NFL is already dunking on the NBA & Kristin Cavallari!Fox News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.