Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.9¢
- Implied chance
- 2.9%
- Return if right
- 3348.3%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 3448.3 shares at 2.9¢ each.
YES wins: $3448.28 back, a profit of $3348.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $633.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $3981.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.51.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Madonna Leads VMAs Nominations With 11, Followed by Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, Ariana GrandeVariety · 5d ago
- Madonna, Taylor Swift Lead 2026 VMA NominationsThe Hollywood Reporter · 5d ago
- Taylor Swift Praises Phoebe Bridgers’ ‘Lost Weekend’ as “An Absolute Triumph in Every Way”The Hollywood Reporter · 6d ago
- Taylor Swift Praises Phoebe Bridgers’ New Album ‘Lost Weekend,’ Calls It an ‘Absolute Triumph in Every Way’Variety · 6d ago
- The NFL saw what Taylor Swift did for ratings—now they’re staging QB romance for Gen Z: ReportFox News · 9d ago
- Travis Kelce says wedding to Taylor Swift was 'the best night of my life' in first official commentsThe Guardian · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.