Spain snap election called by November 30?

Spain snap election called by...?$31k liquidity$11k volumecloses 1.9mo
PoliticsSpainEuropeparliament
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
59.0¢
Implied chance
59.0%
Return if right
69.5%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.

YES wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
42.0¢
Implied chance
42.0%
Return if right
138.1%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.

NO wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $140.96.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%59%60%52%Sep 27Oct 4

Latest: Oct 4, 03:09 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Spain snap election called by November 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in Spain snap election called by...?

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