Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.0¢
- Implied chance
- 20.0%
- Return if right
- 400.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.
YES wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $426.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $23.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Situational Awareness bets $400M on chip startup Source FoundryYahoo Finance · 13h ago
- 2 Ex-Situational Awareness Stocks That are Melting Up and Worth Buying UpYahoo Finance · 13h ago
- Embattled hedge fund Situational Awareness invests $400M in chip startup Source FoundryTechCrunch · 1d ago
- Embattled hedge fund Situational Awareness invests $400M in chip startup Source FoundryYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- JPMorgan Was a Broker to AI Hedge Fund Situational Awareness— Now Jamie Dimon Is Warning About Hidden Leverage Risk: 'Margin Debt Is the Highest...'Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Situational Awareness’s Mystery Investment Was to Source FoundryBloomberg · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.