Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?$8k liquidity$541k volumecloses 7d
OilIranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopolitics
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
72.0¢
Implied chance
72.0%
Return if right
38.9%
Spread cost
11%

If you put in $100

You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.

YES wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $43.88.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
33.0¢
Implied chance
33.0%
Return if right
203.0%
Spread cost
11%

If you put in $100

You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.

NO wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $24.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $227.87.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%46%79%0%Sep 17Sep 24

Latest: Sep 24, 03:41 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

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