Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $65.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $1076.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Sam Altman - OpenAI8.5%
- Andy Jassy - Amazon7.5%
- Sundar Pichai - Google6.7%
- Dan Clancy - Twitch4.1%
- Brian Armstrong - Coinbase5.1%
Latest: Sep 1, 09:13 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sam Altman's OpenAI Just Completed a $7 Billion Share Sale as It Eyes a Trillion-Dollar IPO. What Would That Valuation Mean for Investors?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Sam Altman once called ads a ‘last resort.’ Now OpenAI is on track for $1 billion in revenue from them.MarketWatch · 1d ago
- OpenAI’s ChatGPT Ads Hit $1 Billion in Annualized Revenue in Just 200 Days — Now Sam Altman Is Taking the Business GlobalYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Sam Altman Told Time Magazine, "I Think It Is a Good Time to Slow Down" on AI Model Development After Recent Safety Failures. What Would a Pace Change Mean for OpenAI's Growth Story Heading Into an IPO?Yahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Sorry, Haters, the Gwyneth Paltrow–Sam Altman Hamptons Dinner Party Is Apparently on HoldThe Hollywood Reporter · 4d ago
- OpenAI Is Reportedly Targeting an IPO Debut Above $1 Trillion. Should Investors Watch Sam Altman's Path to Public Markets?Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.