Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or BSW?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 97.6¢
- Implied chance
- 97.6%
- Return if right
- 2.5%
- Spread cost
- 63%
If you put in $100
You get 102.5 shares at 97.6¢ each.
YES wins: $102.46 back, a profit of $2.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 10.2¢
- Implied chance
- 10.2%
- Return if right
- 880.4%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 980.4 shares at 10.2¢ each.
NO wins: $980.39 back, a profit of $880.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $606.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $1487.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election. This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party. Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).