Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
YES wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $510.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $3981.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.9¢
- Implied chance
- 97.9%
- Return if right
- 2.1%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 102.1 shares at 97.9¢ each.
NO wins: $102.15 back, a profit of $2.15. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.51.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Russia targeting 'ordinary life' with attacks on Ukraine's data centres, Zelensky saysBBC News · 5h ago
- Ukrainian kids learn to fly drones for a future shaped by Russia's invasionCBS News · 7h ago
- US seeking to revive Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talksAl Jazeera · 11h ago
- NHL's Kuzmenko returns to Russia after father killed by bearBBC Sport · 14h ago
- Stuck on the Battlefield, Russia Wages ‘Total War’ on Ukraine’s EconomyThe New York Times · 14h ago
- Multiple regions in Russia come under Ukrainian drone attacksAl Jazeera · 18h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf