Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 69.0¢
- Implied chance
- 69.0%
- Return if right
- 44.9%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.
YES wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 35.0¢
- Implied chance
- 35.0%
- Return if right
- 185.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 285.7 shares at 35.0¢ each.
NO wins: $285.71 back, a profit of $185.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘They need each other’: What’s behind the new Syria-Russia accord?Al Jazeera · 2h ago
- US intelligence ‘believes Russia was behind Leipzig airport drone bomb’The Guardian · 2h ago
- Ukraine drone strike on oil refinery deep inside Russia kills at least 13The Guardian · 3h ago
- ‘Long-range sanctions’: Ukraine hopes strikes cause Russia fear and lossesAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- At least 13 killed in Ukrainian drone attack on Russia’s NizhnekamskAl Jazeera · 7h ago
- Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russia kill at least 13, authorities sayCBS News · 7h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution. If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.