Will South Africa win in regulation?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 72.0¢
- Implied chance
- 72.0%
- Return if right
- 38.9%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.
YES wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $42.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 32.0¢
- Implied chance
- 32.0%
- Return if right
- 212.5%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.
NO wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- South Africa Set to Lift Sugar-Benchmark Price to Shield GrowersBloomberg · 4h ago
- New revelations at South Africa corruption inquiryFrance 24 · 22h ago
- South Africa Sees 2026 Wheat Harvest at Smallest Since 2019Bloomberg · 1d ago
- South Africa’s Rand, Bonds Gain as Auction Draws Strong DemandBloomberg · 2d ago
- 4 arrested after world champion boxer shot dead in South AfricaCBS News · 3d ago
- Four arrested over boxing champion's murder in South AfricaBBC News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will South Africa win in regulation?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for August 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve Yes if South Africa is leading after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time. Otherwise, it will resolve No. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If the match is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, this market will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Source: https://www.world.rugby/