Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 40.0¢
- Implied chance
- 40.0%
- Return if right
- 150.0%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.
YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $127.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 59%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bulgaria: Unknown drone explodes near Romanian borderDeutsche Welle · 9d ago
- Romanian navy blasts riverbed to protect nuclear plantAl Jazeera · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.