Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.6¢
- Implied chance
- 2.6%
- Return if right
- 3746.2%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 3846.2 shares at 2.6¢ each.
YES wins: $3846.15 back, a profit of $3746.15. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $153.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $3900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.6¢
- Implied chance
- 97.6%
- Return if right
- 2.5%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 102.5 shares at 97.6¢ each.
NO wins: $102.46 back, a profit of $2.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 04:06 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Russia bars only anti-war party from electionsFrance 24 · 32m ago
- ‘They need each other’: What’s behind the new Syria-Russia accord?Al Jazeera · 2h ago
- US intelligence ‘believes Russia was behind Leipzig airport drone bomb’The Guardian · 2h ago
- Ukraine drone strike on oil refinery deep inside Russia kills at least 13The Guardian · 3h ago
- ‘Long-range sanctions’: Ukraine hopes strikes cause Russia fear and lossesAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- At least 13 killed in Ukrainian drone attack on Russia’s NizhnekamskAl Jazeera · 7h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.