Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.1¢
- Implied chance
- 1.1%
- Return if right
- 8990.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 9090.9 shares at 1.1¢ each.
YES wins: $9090.91 back, a profit of $8990.91. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $432.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $9423.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 07:35 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukraine war live: Zelensky says Russia fired North Korean missiles at ZaporizhzhiaFrance 24 · 9h ago
- Russia: Top court bans opposition anti-war party from voteDeutsche Welle · 11h ago
- Bipartisan House members introduce Graham’s Russia sanctions billThe Hill · 11h ago
- How a Counterintelligence Inquiry Into Trump’s Russia Ties Was DerailedThe New York Times · 11h ago
- Russia bars only party opposing war in Ukraine from parliamentary voteAl Jazeera · 12h ago
- Russia bars only anti-war party from electionsFrance 24 · 14h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.