Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.3¢
- Implied chance
- 99.3%
- Return if right
- 0.7%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.
YES wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
NO wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2142.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $5614.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump likely ‘smirked’ as 'crass' Iranian president lashed out at US in UN speech: expertFox News · 3h ago
- Chinese and Iranian presidents both visit U.S.CBS News · 4h ago
- What to know about Iranian president's U.N. speechCBS News · 5h ago
- Iranian president claims they are 'victims of terrorism' in United Nations speechNBC News · 11h ago
- Iranian president adresses UNGA amid war with USFrance 24 · 12h ago
- REPLAY: Iranian President Pezeshkian adresses UNGAFrance 24 · 13h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.