Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $427.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $1438.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 29, 05:31 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukraine’s Zelenskyy plans to hit Russia with ‘1,000 drones’ a dayAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Dem senator turns ‘leader of the free world’ title on its head with Zelenskyy remarksFox News · 3d ago
- Burnham to take Zelenskyy’s pleas for Patriot missiles to Trump – as it happenedThe Guardian · 5d ago
- Ukraine’s allies convene in Kyiv as Zelenskyy seeks air defence boostAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Zelenskyy repeats Ukraine not behind Nord Stream attackDeutsche Welle · 6d ago
- Zelenskyy says wartime elections could ‘destroy’ UkraineAl Jazeera · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.