Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.0¢
- Implied chance
- 4.0%
- Return if right
- 2400.0%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1008.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $3408.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.3¢
- Implied chance
- 98.3%
- Return if right
- 1.7%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.
NO wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Burnham to host Zelenskyy at No 10 in show of ‘rock-solid’ supportThe Guardian · 1h ago
- The Trump administration warns Ukraine it could cut off intel, Zelenskyy tells NPRNPR · 4h ago
- Trump says Putin and Zelenskyy both want to end Russia’s war on UkraineAl Jazeera · 4h ago
- Allies did not warn Kyiv of Russian ballistic missile strikes, says ZelenskyyThe Guardian · 9h ago
- Zelenskyy says Russia ‘did not heed’ Trump’s call for ceasefire and Ukraine had ‘no early warning’ before strikes on Kyiv – as it happenedThe Guardian · 15h ago
- Zelenskyy says Russia isn't honoring Trump's energy ceasefireCBS News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.