Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 10.0¢
- Implied chance
- 10.0%
- Return if right
- 900.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $52.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $952.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $10.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Is US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth a Bitcoiner? This Is What His Accounts SayBitcoin Magazine · 10d ago
- Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Holds Bitcoin in a Coinbase Wallet, Filing ShowsDecrypt · 10d ago
- Republican congressman calls to impeach US Defence Secretary Pete HegsethAl Jazeera · 19d ago
- GOP Rep Thomas Massie introduces 8 articles of impeachment against War Secretary Pete HegsethFox News · 19d ago
- US army secretary Dan Driscoll resigns over reported friction with Pete HegsethThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- Army Secretary submits resignation to White House after tensions with Pete HegsethNBC News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.