Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.2¢
- Implied chance
- 6.2%
- Return if right
- 1512.9%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 1612.9 shares at 6.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1612.90 back, a profit of $1512.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1204.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $2716.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.1¢
- Implied chance
- 99.1%
- Return if right
- 0.9%
- Spread cost
- 75%
If you put in $100
You get 100.9 shares at 99.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100.91 back, a profit of $0.91. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.68.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Pete Hegseth urges troops to register to voteThe Hill · 7h ago
- Is US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth a Bitcoiner? This Is What His Accounts SayBitcoin Magazine · 8h ago
- Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Holds Bitcoin in a Coinbase Wallet, Filing ShowsDecrypt · 11h ago
- Pete Hegseth confronts House with a lame-duck impeachment dilemmaThe Hill · 3d ago
- Republican forces Congress to hold impeachment vote for Pete HegsethAl Jazeera · 10d ago
- Rep. Thomas Massie forcing vote on Pete Hegseth's impeachmentABC News · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.