OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
YES wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 28.0¢
- Implied chance
- 28.0%
- Return if right
- 257.1%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 357.1 shares at 28.0¢ each.
NO wins: $357.14 back, a profit of $257.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:48 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.