OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 25.0¢
- Implied chance
- 25.0%
- Return if right
- 300.0%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 400.0 shares at 25.0¢ each.
YES wins: $400.00 back, a profit of $300.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $25.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $325.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 78.0¢
- Implied chance
- 78.0%
- Return if right
- 28.2%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 128.2 shares at 78.0¢ each.
NO wins: $128.21 back, a profit of $28.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Nvidia Downsizes Plans for $250 Billion Guarantee of OpenAI Data CenterYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- OpenAI Staff Blame Rush to Ship for Rogue Agent HackDecrypt · 2d ago
- OpenAI Lost Two Execs in a Week. At Least Revenue Hit $40 Billion.Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
- OpenAI Just Hit a $40 Billion Run Rate. So Why Are Its Top Executives Sprinting for the Exit Before the IPO?Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
- OpenAI Annualized Revenue Tops $40 Billion Ahead of $1 Trillion IPO PushYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- OpenAI and Anthropic in price war as Chinese AI rivals gain groundArs Technica · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange. OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD. Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange. If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed. If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.