Obama federally charged before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.5¢
- Implied chance
- 6.5%
- Return if right
- 1438.5%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 1538.5 shares at 6.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1538.46 back, a profit of $1438.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $422.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $1860.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.3¢
- Implied chance
- 96.3%
- Return if right
- 3.8%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 103.8 shares at 96.3¢ each.
NO wins: $103.84 back, a profit of $3.84. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.37.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Obama federally charged before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.