NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 15.0¢
- Implied chance
- 15.0%
- Return if right
- 566.7%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.
YES wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $47.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $614.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.