Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 94.9¢
- Implied chance
- 94.9%
- Return if right
- 5.4%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 105.4 shares at 94.9¢ each.
YES wins: $105.37 back, a profit of $5.37. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 5.6¢
- Implied chance
- 5.6%
- Return if right
- 1685.7%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 1785.7 shares at 5.6¢ each.
NO wins: $1785.71 back, a profit of $1685.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $83.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $1769.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Jim Cramer Backs NVIDIA (NVDA) Compute BondsYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Jim Cramer Reviews NVIDIA (NVDA) and Data Center DemandYahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Can NVIDIA (NVDA) Keep Dominating the AI Infrastructure Boom?Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Nvidia (NVDA) Is Going Beyond GPUs in the $500 Billion AI Boom, Wells Fargo SaysYahoo Finance · 8d ago
- Why This Investor Just Bought Nvidia (NVDA)Yahoo Finance · 9d ago
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Is Evolving Beyond GPUs Into a Full AI Infrastructure PlatformYahoo Finance · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
As of market creation, NVIDIA is estimated to release earnings on August 26, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for NVIDIA’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NVIDIA reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If NVIDIA releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Source: https://seekingalpha.com/