Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $83.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 81.0¢
- Implied chance
- 81.0%
- Return if right
- 23.5%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.
NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.60 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Romania Extends Reactor Output by Nine Days After Danube BlastsBloomberg · 4d ago
- Romania, Hungary, France... Europe's nuclear power plants tested by heatwaveFrance 24 · 9d ago
- Dry Danube River threatens nuclear power in Romania, HungaryDeutsche Welle · 9d ago
- Romania blasts rock to divert water from drought-hit Danube to nuclear reactorThe Guardian · 9d ago
- South-eastern Europe faces heatwave energy crunch as Romania detonates Danube rock to increase water flow – as it happenedThe Guardian · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice