1H Spread: Colts (-1.5)

Q: 1H Spread: Colts (-1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 52%. A YES share costs 52.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 92.3% over 6h.

Colts vs. Patriots$6k liquidity$37 volumecloses 3h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

YES wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 07:59 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “1H Spread: Colts (-1.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the first half of the NFL game between Colts and Patriots, scheduled for August 13 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts are winning by 2 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores