Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 39.5

Q: Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 39.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 81%. A YES share costs 81.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 23.5% over 1.2mo.

Broncos vs. Chiefs$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 1.2mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 57%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

YES wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $31.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 49%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $89.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 03:59 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

49ers star Dre Greenlaw lambasts Denver's altitude after Broncos' tenure: 'Fighting demons'Fox News · 5d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 39.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 14 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Broncos and Chiefs combine to score 40 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 40, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores