Prediction markets currently price this at 55%. A YES share costs 55.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 81.8% over 11d.

Bears vs. Falcons

Bears vs. Falcons$8k liquidity$0 volumecloses 11d

SportsNFL (All)Games

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

YES wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $88.68.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 49.0¢
Implied chance: 49.0%
Return if right: 104.1%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.

NO wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $112.77.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 7, 11:59 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Bears vs. Falcons”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bears and Falcons, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores