Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 21, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $297.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $1308.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.8¢
- Implied chance
- 94.8%
- Return if right
- 5.5%
- Spread cost
- 28%
If you put in $100
You get 105.5 shares at 94.8¢ each.
NO wins: $105.49 back, a profit of $5.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 18, 08:39 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Karoline Leavitt's replacement as press secretary faces 'critical' test as midterms loom, Trump advisor saysFox News · 2d ago
- Psaki attacks outgoing press secretary Karoline Leavitt as a liar, claims she faced hardly any tough questionsFox News · 4d ago
- Who will replace Karoline Leavitt as the next White House press secretary?The Guardian · 5d ago
- Democrats 'afraid' of Jennings as White House press secretary, Sellers saysThe Hill · 5d ago
- Who could replace White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt?BBC News · 5d ago
- Will Trump’s next press secretary be a better liar than the first five?The Guardian · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 21, 202…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Karoline Leavitt between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.