Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 46.0¢
- Implied chance
- 46.0%
- Return if right
- 117.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.
YES wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 55.0¢
- Implied chance
- 55.0%
- Return if right
- 81.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.
NO wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Netanyahu Walks Tightrope on Trump’s Gaza Disarmament DealThe New York Times · 54m ago
- Netanyahu Walks Tightrope on Trump’s Gaza Disarmament DealThe New York Times · 54m ago
- Netanyahu says no Gaza withdrawal until Hamas disarmsFrance 24 · 2h ago
- Netanyahu's rejection of Trump's 15-point Gaza plan unlikely to be final wordBBC News · 2h ago
- Why Netanyahu’s ‘coup’ against Gaza plan risks endless warAl Jazeera · 3h ago
- Latest news after Netanyahu rejects the U.S.-backed Gaza peace planCBS News · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.