Netanyahu drops out before election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 32%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1544.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $4778.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Netanyahu’s fight to own the election narrativeAl Jazeera · 18h ago
- New claims that Netanyahu rejected Hamas offer to release captivesAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Mamdani says it was 'strange' getting called out by Netanyahu after calling for his arrestFox News · 2d ago
- Netanyahu warns of 'very heavy price' if any country found to be behind FlyDubai incidentFrance 24 · 3d ago
- Egypt warned Israel of 'major' Hamas attack: 'No world where Netanyahu's not aware' (Vivian Salama)France 24 · 3d ago
- Netanyahu says Flydubai co-pilot was radicalised as UAE probes terror linkFrance 24 · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Netanyahu drops out before election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM Jerusalem Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.