NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.9¢
- Implied chance
- 4.9%
- Return if right
- 1940.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 2040.8 shares at 4.9¢ each.
YES wins: $2040.82 back, a profit of $1940.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $42.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $1983.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.3¢
- Implied chance
- 95.3%
- Return if right
- 4.9%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 104.9 shares at 95.3¢ each.
NO wins: $104.93 back, a profit of $4.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO member state enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict in Yemen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by NATO or the member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or the member state to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with the Houthis. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they must be active duty troops and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Houthi forces, or personnel conducting combat operations against the Houthis from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution). Only members of the regular armed forces of a NATO member state will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by a NATO member state who are not members of that state’s armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under its command or on its behalf. Members of a NATO member state’s armed forces operating as part of a coalition, including a Saudi-led coalition, will qualify. Personnel must be physically present on the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Air or naval operations conducted from outside Yemeni territory, including air strikes, missile strikes, drone strikes and overflights, will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and the governments and defense ministries of NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.