Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 17.0¢
- Implied chance
- 17.0%
- Return if right
- 488.2%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.
YES wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $181.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘SNL’ Opens Season With Mamdani Hanging Out With BFF Trump, Natalie Harp Going ‘Obsession’ Over PresidentVariety · 11d ago
- Trump team unloads on liberal journalist over Natalie Harp posts: ‘Sick, deluded freak’Fox News · 24d ago
- Trump faces growing scrutiny over ‘profoundly concerning’ cash gifts for aides including Natalie HarpThe Guardian · 27d ago
- Trump gave aide Natalie Harp a $45,000 holiday cash gift, disclosure showsAl Jazeera · 28d ago
- Trump gifted $45,000 to Natalie Harp and 2 other aides, federal disclosures showCBS News · 28d ago
- Trump gave $45,000 cash gifts to Natalie Harp and two other aides, public records showBBC News · 28d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by De…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.