Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301?

Q: Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301?

Prediction markets currently price this at 14%. A YES share costs 14.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 614.3% over 8d.

NASCAR: Dollar Tree 301 Winner$2k liquidity$82 volumecloses 8d

SportsNascarracing

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 20%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $155.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 07:13 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Denny Hamlin chases monster largemouth bass in Texas with Bassmaster pro Chris ZaldainFox News · 10d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Dollar Tree 301 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Source: https://www.nascar.com