Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Q: Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Prediction markets currently price this at 95%. A YES share costs 95.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 5.3% over 9d.

Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets$125 liquidity$0 volumecloses 9d

SportsGamesSoccerMLS

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 94%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

YES wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $85.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 90.0¢
Implied chance: 90.0%
Return if right: 11.1%
Spread cost: 90%

If you put in $100

You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.

NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $99.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 09:40 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLS game between Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for August 19 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire FC each score at least one goal during the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the second half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the second half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores