Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

Q: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 60%. A YES share costs 60.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 66.7%.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$8k liquidity$83 volumecloses n/a

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 43.0¢
Implied chance: 43.0%
Return if right: 132.6%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

NO wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $140.96.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 11:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles face off in playoff-style game with wild card on the lineFox News · 3d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 22 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores