Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners

Q: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners

Prediction markets currently price this at 97%. A YES share costs 97.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3.1% over 5d.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners$150k liquidity$346k volumecloses 5d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 26%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

YES wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.17.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 5.0¢
Implied chance: 5.0%
Return if right: 1900.0%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.

NO wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $500.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $2400.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 8, 06:00 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Drew Rasmussen and the Rays look to exploit Logan Gilbert's home struggles against the MarinersFox News · 3d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 7 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/