Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Q: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 1.8¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 5455.6% over 3d.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers$212k liquidity$487k volumecloses 3d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.8¢
Implied chance: 1.8%
Return if right: 5455.6%
Spread cost: 20%

If you put in $100

You get 5555.6 shares at 1.8¢ each.

YES wins: $5555.56 back, a profit of $5455.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1341.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $6796.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.9¢
Implied chance: 98.9%
Return if right: 1.1%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.

NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.47.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 6, 06:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Milwaukee Brewers face San Diego Padres as Logan Henderson looks to extend dominant road stretchFox News · 37m ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 6 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.mlb.com/