Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston Astros
BUY YES
- Cost
- 60.0¢
- Implied chance
- 60.0%
- Return if right
- 66.7%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.
YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $29.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $96.08.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 58.0¢
- Implied chance
- 58.0%
- Return if right
- 72.4%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.
NO wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $31.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $104.08.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics v…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Athletics or Houston Astros. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores